Strategically-worded statements from OPEC, in particular signals from Saudi Arabia that it was moving to stabilise markets, lifted oil prices last week, moving up to the mid-US$40s as traders bet that the OPEC talks will lead to a balancing of supply with demand.
Russia’s Rosneft announced that it had made a new condensate find at its Wild Orchid gas field in Vietnam, located in the prodigious Nam Con Son offshore basin. Pre-drill preliminary assessments indicate 12.6 billion cubic metres of gas and 5.4 million barrels of condensate, which ties in synergistically as it can be linked to Rosneft Vietnam’s existing Lan Tay production platform.
Australia launched the 2016 Offshore Petroleum Exploration Acreage Release last week, covering 28 areas across five basins. The offshore blocks on offer are in the Bonaparte Basin, Browse Basin, Offshore Canning Basin, Roebuck Basin and Northern Carnarvon Basin in Western Australia, with 25 areas up for work program bidding and three areas for cash bidding.
CNPC has begun work on the fourth Shaanxi-Beijing gas pipeline, moving 25 billion cubic metres of gas per annum to China’s energy-hungry capital in a bid to reduce smog from oil- and coal-burning power plants. There are already three existing pipelines with total capacity of 35 billion cubic metres, and the new 1,114 km pipeline will bring that total up to 60 billion cubic metres when it starts up in October 2017.
Indian oil demand is growing fast, outpacing even China’s growth currently, and refiners are planning ahead to feed that demand. CPCL (Chennai Petroleum) has announced a US$3 billion plan to expand its Nagapattinam plant in Tamil Nadu from 20 kb/d to as much as 180 kb/d. A feasibility study is underway and the plans, if finalised, will go to approval by the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas next year.
In more Indian refinery news, the Numaligarh Refinery in Assam, a joint venture owned by BPCL and Oil India, is planning a US$3 billion expansion of its 80 kb/d refinery, which would treble the site’s capacity to 180 kb/d. Surging demand in India’s northeast is the impetus behind the plans. Ministry approval is required for the plan to go ahead.
Santos is setting aside A$1.05 billion to pay for a tax impairment charge on its Gladstone LNG project in its 1H16 financials. The impairment comes dues to a slower ramp up of Gladstone equity gas production and an increase in third-party gas prices, with sustained low oil prices constraining capital expenditure and Gladstone ramp-up.
Indonesia has approved plans to create holding companies for state firms, including those in the energy sector. Under the new framework, which is designed to encourage state-owned companies to spearhead industrial development, PT Pertamina will be the holding company of the oil and gas sector, with PGN (Perusahaan Gas Negara) as one of its units. This will hopefully bestow some measure of decisive power in Pertamina, which it can use to push ahead with some of its ambitious upstream and refinery projects to increase Indonesia’s crude production and reduce its current dependence on imported oil products.
Continued attacks on pipeline infrastructure in Nigeria persist, despite the government issuing cash payments in efforts to negotiate peace talks. Last week, Shell declared force majeure for Bonny Light crude liftings when a leak appearing on the Niger Delta pipeline. Bonny Light is Nigeria’s fourth crude stream to be under force majeure for deliveries, after Qua Iboe, Forcados and Brass River. ExxonMobil, which exports Qua Iboe, is attempted to re-route its streams via an alternate pipeline while it focusing on repairing the main line damaged in July.
With its energy policy now set in stone, Israel is preparing to exploit the country’s new discoveries of gas (and oil). With regulatory uncertainties now eliminated, some 24 offshore exploration blocks will be up for tender in November, all of which are close to the Leviathan gas field. Preliminary indications by the Israeli Energy Ministry indicates 2,200 billion cubic metres of natural gas and 6.6 billion barrels of oil set to be discovered in Israeli waters, according to a geological survey.
Israel’s neighbor to the south, Egypt, has approved five oil and gas E&P agreements with foreign companies. BP, ENI, Total and Edison will partner with Egypt’s state gas board EGAS on four fields in the Mediterranean, while Trident Petroleum joins EGPC in the Red Sea.
Some 15 new oil rigs started up in the US last week, bringing the total number of operating oil rigs to 396, as onshore producers took heed of OPEC’s signals to strengthen prices. Gas rigs rose by 2, bringing the total number of rigs up to 481, the highest number since March 2016.
A fire broke out at the Motiva refinery in Convent, Louisiana last week. The fire was put out within the day, but not before heavily damaging the structure of the site’s heavy oil hydrocracker. The 235 kb/d is expected to be partially shut down for at least a month to repair the damage to the 45 kb/d heavy oil unit. The wider refinery will remain operational.
Expansions at the Sohar refinery in Oman are now expected to come onstream by early 2017, a slight delay from the original end-2016 start date, which would increase refining capacity to some 90 kb/d. Crude processed will be domestic, reducing the country’s crude exports by at least 50 kb/d when Sohar’s new units start up.
South Korea’s Kogas has signed an MoU with the government of Yucatan state in Mexico to build an LNG import terminal and associated pipeline infrastructure. The proposed site for the project is Progreso, well-placed to receive shipments of LNG coming from the US on the other side of the Gulf of Mexico.
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Tyre market in Bangladesh is forecasted to grow at over 9% until 2020 on the back of growth in automobile sales, advancements in public infrastructure, and development-seeking government policies.
The government has emphasized on the road infrastructure of the country, which has been instrumental in driving vehicle sales in the country.
The tyre market reached Tk 4,750 crore last year, up from about Tk 4,000 crore in 2017, according to market insiders.
The commercial vehicle tyre segment dominates this industry with around 80% of the market share. At least 1.5 lakh pieces of tyres in the segment were sold in 2018.
In the commercial vehicle tyre segment, the MRF's market share is 30%. Apollo controls 5% of the segment, Birla 10%, CEAT 3%, and Hankook 1%. The rest 51% is controlled by non-branded Chinese tyres.
However, Bangladesh mostly lacks in tyre manufacturing setups, which leads to tyre imports from other countries as the only feasible option to meet the demand. The company largely imports tyre from China, India, Indonesia, Thailand and Japan.
Automobile and tyre sales in Bangladesh are expected to grow with the rising in purchasing power of people as well as growing investments and joint ventures of foreign market players. The country might become the exporting destination for global tyre manufacturers.
Several global tyre giants have also expressed interest in making significant investments by setting up their manufacturing units in the country.
This reflects an opportunity for local companies to set up an indigenous manufacturing base in Bangladesh and also enables foreign players to set up their localized production facilities to capture a significant market.
It can be said that, the rise in automobile sales, improvement in public infrastructure, and growth in purchasing power to drive the tyre market over the next five years.
Headline crude prices for the week beginning 14 January 2019 – Brent: US$61/b; WTI: US$51/b
Headlines of the week
GEO ExPro Vol. 15, No. 6 was published on 10th December 2018 bringing light to the latest science and technology activity in the global geoscience community within the oil, gas and energy sector.
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