Last Updated: October 31, 2017
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Press Release
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ADIPEC Creates Opportunities to Make New Connections,
Drive Business Growth

 

UAE Capital is at Crossroads of Global Energy Industry

 

 

Abu Dhabi, UAE – 26 October 2017 – This year’s Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC) will give oil and gas professionals an unrivalled platform to meet potential new business partners from around the world, organisers said today during the lead-up to the annual event.

From exclusive C-suite networking sessions in the VIP-only Middle East Petroleum Club, to a bespoke matchmaking concierge service that will pre-arrange highly targeted face-to-face meetings, ADIPEC will offer a wide range of carefully designed opportunities for visitors, delegates and exhibitors to make valuable new connections and drive business growth.

“ADIPEC puts Abu Dhabi at the crossroads of the global energy industry, bringing together more than 100,000 professionals from across the world, all wanting to move their business forward,” said Jean-Philippe Cossé, Vice President, Middle East – Global Energy at dmg events, which organizes ADIPEC. “When you come to ADIPEC, you know you are having the right conversations with the right people – whether that’s between top CEOs discussing markets and strategy, or a buyer and seller closing a deal on the exhibition floor.”

To support ADIPEC’s role as a meetings hub, recent editions have seen consistent development of features designed to help bring people together.

For senior government ministers and officials, as well as C-level attendees, the Middle East Petroleum Club is the exclusive VIP club for oil and gas decision-makers. It provides an environment for high-level private networking, first introduced in 2013.

For trade professionals, the biggest challenge can be to identify opportunities amid the vast scale of ADIPEC. Over four days, the event will attract an estimated 10,000 conference delegates and 100,000 exhibition visitors from around 135 countries, while 2,200 exhibiting companies are confirmed from more than 53 countries. Those numbers keep growing year on year, partly because ADIPEC keeps expanding in its scope. In 2015, the Offshore and Marine area was launched, while last year the Security in Energy event was added to the programme. This year the downstream oil and gas industries will be included for the first time, as part of the expanded conference programme covering both strategic and technical content for the sector. Each comes with its own conference programme and exhibition area, and attracts additional attendees.

With so much ground to cover, 2017 will see an expansion of ADIPEC’s Global Meetings Programme, which acts as a vehicle to drive bi-lateral trade as buyers and sellers from all around the world converge on the event. This bespoke networking and matchmaking service gives conference delegates, exhibitors and VIPs an efficient way to search for and connect with new and existing business contacts, and pre-arrange meetings either in a dedicated lounge or on exhibitor stands.

Each attendee at ADIPEC can upload a profile onto the Global Meetings Programme platform, including company and personal details, listing their areas of interest, and the programme will suggest possible meetings. Anyone attending ADIPEC can use the programme, although access will be higher depending on the type of badge a participant holds.

“The matchmaking concierge service organised around 600 meetings last year, a number we plan to more than triple to about 2,000 for 2017, and we have designed the system to make sure these are all high-value meetings for both sides,” said Jean-Philippe Cossé. “An important feature of the system is that, although initial matches are made by sophisticated algorithms, recommendations are checked and validated by a member of our specialised concierge team before passing them on.”

Held under the patronage of His Highness Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the UAE, hosted by the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC), and organised by the Global Energy division of dmg events, ADIPEC is one of the world’s leading oil and gas events, and the largest in Africa and the Middle East.

ADIPEC will be held at Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre from 13 to 16 November 2017.


- ENDS –

About ADIPEC

Held under the patronage of the President of the United Arab Emirates, His Highness Sheikh Khalifa Bin Zayed Al Nahyan, and organised by the Global Energy division of dmg events, ADIPEC is the global meeting point for oil and gas professionals. Standing as one of the world’s top energy events, and the largest in the Middle East and North Africa, ADIPEC is a knowledge-sharing platform that enables industry experts to exchange ideas and information that shape the future of the energy sector. The 20th edition of ADIPEC will take place from 13-16 November, at the Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Centre (ADNEC). ADIPEC 2017 will be hosted by the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) and supported by the UAE Ministry of Energy, Masdar, the Abu Dhabi Chamber, the Abu Dhabi Tourism & Culture Authority (TCA Abu Dhabi), Abu Dhabi Ports and the Department of Education and Knowledge. dmg Global Energy is committed to helping the growing international energy community bridge gaps by bringing oil and gas professionals face to face with new technologies and business opportunities.


For media enquiries, please contact:

Nour Soliman

Senior Marketing Manager, DMG Events Global Energy

Twofour54, Park Rotana Offices, 6th Floor

PO Box 769256, Abu Dhabi, UAE

T: +971 (0)2 6970 515


Wallis 

[email protected]

T: +971 4 275 4100

Mark Robinson (English):  +971 (0)55 127 9764

Feras Hamzah (Arabic):     +971 (0)50 798 4784


For more info: http://www.adipec.com/

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High Oil Prices and Indonesia’s Ban on Oil Palm Exports

Supply chains are currently in crisis. They have been for a long time now, ever since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic reshaped the way the world works. Stressed shipping networks and operational blockages – coupled with China’s insistence on a Covid-zero policy – means that cargo tanker rates are at an all-time high and that there just aren’t enough of them. McDonalds and KFCs in Asia are running out of French fries to sell, not because there aren’t enough potatoes in Idaho, but because there aren’t enough ships to deliver them to Japan or to Singapore from Los Angeles. The war in Ukraine has placed a particular emphasis on food supply chains by disrupting global wheat and sunflower oil supply chains and kicking off distressingly high levels of food price inflation across North Africa, the Middle East and Asia. It was against this backdrop that Indonesia announced a complete ban on palm oil exports. That nuclear option shocked the markets, set off a potential new supply chain crisis and has particular implications on future of crude oil pricing and biofuels in Asia.  

A brief recap. Like most of Asia, Indonesia has been grappling with food price inflation as consequence of Covid-19. Like most of Asia, Indonesia has been attempting to control this through a combination of shielding its most vulnerable citizens through continued subsidies while attempting to optimise supply chains. Like most of Asia, Indonesia hasn’t been to control the market at all, because uncoordinated attempts across a wide spectrum of countries to achieve a similar level of individual protectionism is self-defeating.

Cooking oil is a major product of sensitive importance in Indonesia, and one that it is self-sufficient in as a result of its status as the world’s largest palm oil producer. So large is Indonesia in that regard that its excess palm oil production has been directed to increasingly higher biodiesel mandates, with a B40 mandate – diesel containing 40% of palm material – originally schedule for full implementation this year. But as palm oil prices started rising to all-time highs at the beginning of January, cooking oil started becoming scarcer in Indonesia. The government blamed hoarding and – wary of the Ramadan period and domestic unrest – implemented a Domestic Market Obligation on palm oil refineries, directing them to devote 20% of projected exports for domestic use. Increasingly stricter terms for the DMO continued over February and March, only for an abrupt U-turn in mid-March that removed the DMO completely. But as the war in Ukraine drove prices even further, Indonesia shocked the market by announcing an total ban on palm oil exports in late April. Chaotically, the ban was first clarified to be palm olein only (straight refining cooking oil), but then flip-flopped into a total ban of crude palm oil as well. Markets went haywire, prices jumped to historical highs and Indonesia’s trading partners reacted with alarm.

Joko Widodo has said that the ban will be indefinite until domestic cooking oil prices ‘moderate’. With the global situation as it is, ‘moderate’ is unlikely to be achieved until the end of 2022 at least, if ‘moderate’ is taken to be the previous level of palm oil prices – roughly half of current pricing. Logistically, Indonesia cannot hold out on the ban for more than two months. Only a third of Indonesia’s monthly palm oil production is consumed domestically; the rest is exported. An indefinite ban means that not only fill storage tanks up beyond capacity and estates forced to let fruit rot, but Indonesia will be missing out on crucial revenue from its crude palm oil export tax. Which is used to fund its biodiesel subsidies.

And that’s where the implications on oil come in. Indonesia’s ham-fisted attempt at protectionism has dire implications on biofuels policies in Asia. Palm oil prices within Indonesia might sink as long as surplus volumes can’t make it beyond the borders, but international palm oil prices will remain high as consuming countries pivot to producers like Malaysia, Thailand, Papua New Guinea, West Africa and Latin America. That in turn, threatens the biodiesel mandates in Thailand and Malaysia. The Thai government has already expressed concern over palm-led food price inflation and associated pressure on its (subsidised) biodiesel programme, launching efforts to mitigate the worst effects. Malaysia – which has a more direct approach to subsidised fuels – is also feeling the pinch. Thailand’s move to B10 and Malaysia’s move to B20 is now in jeopardy; in fact, Thailand has regressed its national mandate from B7 to B5. And the reason is that the differential between the bio- and the diesel portion of the biodiesel is now so disparate that subsidy regimes break down. It would be far cheaper – for the government, the tax-payers and consumers – to use straight diesel instead of biodiesel, as evidenced by Thailand’s reversal in mandates.

That, in turn, has implications on crude pricing. While OPEC+ is stubbornly sticking to its gentle approach to managing global crude supply, the stunning rebound in Asian demand has already kept the consumption side tight to match that supply. Crude prices above US$100/b are a recipe for demand destruction, and Asian economies have been preparing for this by looking at alternatives; biofuels for example. In the past four years, Indonesia has converted some of its oil refineries into biodiesel plants; in China, stricter crude import quotas are paving the way for China to clamp down on its status of a fuels exporter in favour of self-sustainability. But what happens when crude prices are high, but the prices of alternatives are higher? That is the case for palm oil now, where the gasoil-palm spread is now triple the previous average.

Part of this situation is due to market dynamics. Part of it is due to geopolitical effects. But part of it is also due to Indonesia’s knee-jerk reaction. Supply disruption at the level of a blanket ban is always seismic and kicks off a chain of unintended consequences; see the OPEC oil shocks of the 70s. Indonesia’s palm oil export ban is almost at that level. ‘Indefinite’ is a vague term and offers no consolation to markets looking for direction. Damage will be done, even if the ban lasts a month. But the longer it lasts – Indonesian general elections are due in February 2024 – the more serious the consequences could be. And the more the oil and refining industry in Asia will have to think about their preconceived notions of the future of oil in the region.

End of Article

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Market Outlook:

  • Crude price trading range: Brent – US$110-1113/b, WTI – US$105-110/b
  • As the war in Ukraine becomes increasingly entrenched, the pressure on global crude prices as Russian energy exports remain curtailed; OPEC+ is offering little hope to consumers of displaced Russian crude, with no indication that it is ready to drastically increase supply beyond its current gentle approach
  • In the US, the so-called NOPEC bill is moving ahead, paving the way for the US to sue the OPEC+ group under antitrust rules for market manipulation, setting up a tense next few months as international geopolitics and trade relations are re-evaluated

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