Last Updated: June 10, 2018
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Business Trends

OPEC/non-OPEC supply boost likely but keeps oil market on a knife-edge

A fortnight after an unexpected proposal to boost global oil supply by 1 million b/d emerged from a meeting of the Saudi and Russian energy ministers in St. Petersburg, the market has been left hanging in suspense as to whether or not it will be implemented.

The difference between a “yes” and a “no” has so far amounted to a spread of around $4/barrel for Brent futures, between a nervous market driving up prices towards the $80/bbl psychological mark and furiously selling off to pre-empt an increase in supply.

Should a production hike of 1 million b/d be agreed, we estimate a slump of another $4/barrel or so in Brent, cooling it to the low-$70s compared with the 42-month high close of $79.80 notched on May 23.

Between the two diametrically opposite options of raising output by 1 million b/d and keeping the current cuts intact, lies the possibility of agreeing a smaller boost, as we discussed in last weeks viewsletter. The increment would need to be at least more than 500,000 b/d. Anything less would be ineffective in countering the unintended losses from Venezuela and Iran, among others, likely leaving Brent in the mid-$70s, ready to spike again if the supply tightness worsens. As we have said before, even an increase of 1 million b/d is conservative.

Global oil production uncertainties are the highest since the Arab Spring took hold in 2011 and could swing the market into a supply shock that leaves OPEC struggling to plug the gap promptly, or worse, plugging it at all, given the group’s limited spare capacity.

These supply uncertainties arise from accelerating natural declines in conventional oil fields across the globe, amplified by sustained and severe cuts in upstream investment since 2015; delays and teething issues in the few greenfield oil projects coming online; and heightened geopolitical tensions haunting several major oil-producing countries.

Meanwhile, WTI has drifted off again, disconnecting from the global markets. August NYMEX WTI futures closed at a discount of $11.43/barrel to the corresponding ICE Brent contract on June 7, the widest since February 2015. WTI Midland, the price of tight oil in the prolific Permian basin, remains under pressure as surging production has bumped against pipeline takeaway capacity and the forward curve shows a dim view of wellhead prices until September 2019.

WTI Midland is also dragging down NYMEX WTI futures, which represent the value of barrels at the Cushing storage in Oklahoma. Such is the bearish outlook due to the Permian/Cushing bottleneck that not even a third consecutive weekly decline in Cushing stocks reported by the US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday provided any lift.

The drama around Venezuelan output and Iran sanctions has reached a crescendo. We bring you our perspective on the latest twists and what they mean for the ministers meeting in Vienna on June 22.

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Must have features of a chat service agent.

Communication is an art. Period”

It is true when we say that connecting with people is not everyone’s cup of tea. The first step is listening and then responding accordingly. 

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Propane Bullet Tank: What Is It?

A Propane Bullet Tank, also known as LPG Above Ground Tanks, is used for storing liquid natural gas. The tanks have components that best fit your company's needs and are available in various sizes.

The size of a propane bullet tank can be anything from 6,000 and 30,000 gallons, with an 18,000 tank generally the most popular. Tank fill levels should not exceed 70–80% for liquid natural gas to expand inside the vessel.

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Where To Buy Nitrogen Gas?

Nitrogen in liquid form is a colorless, odorless, nonflammable, inert cryogenic liquid. It has a boiling point of less than -130 °F (-196 °C). Although this product is freezing, Nitrogen is widely used in chemical analysis during sample preparation. It is employed in the concentration and condensing of liquid sample volumes. It is used in the production of explosives, nylon, nitric acid, fertilizers, and color-safe operation precautions must be taken when handling or using it in Dubai.

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You must be wondering where to buy nitrogen gas. GasNtools is one of the best liquid nitrogen suppliers that can meet your needs for nitrogen gas no matter what they are. They provide nitrogen to:

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Food Industry

It has spread throughout the industry and is now widely used in restaurants to quickly freeze liquids to ice creams and desserts for live food displays. Because liquid nitrogen has a temperature of -196 °C, the liquid ice cream mixture can be quickly cooled and frozen. Any remaining nitrogen escapes as a gas. Another advantage of freezing is that it reduces dehydration losses, which can reach crucial economic tiers with these items under ambient air. The cost of liquid nitrogen in Dubai is completely inexpensive. As a result, many customers approach GasNtools to obtain this nitrogen gas quickly and affordably.


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