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Last Updated: February 10, 2021
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Forecast Highlights

  • The February Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) remains subject to heightened levels of uncertainty because responses to COVID-19 continue to evolve. Reduced economic activity related to the COVID-19 pandemic has caused changes in energy demand and supply over the past year and will continue to affect these patterns in the future. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 3.6% in 2020 from 2019 levels. This STEO assumes U.S. GDP will grow by 3.8% in 2021 and by 4.2% in 2022. The U.S. macroeconomic assumptions in this outlook are based on forecasts by IHS Markit.
  • Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $55 per barrel (b) in January, up $5/b from the December average but $9/b lower than the average in January of last year. Higher Brent prices in January largely reflected the January 5 announcement by Saudi Arabia that it would unilaterally cut 1.0 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil production in February and March, in addition to the reduced production levels on which the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and partner countries (OPEC+) previously agreed. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expects Brent crude oil prices will average $56/b in the first quarter of 2021 and $52/b over the remainder of the year. EIA expects lower oil prices later in 2021 as a result of rising oil supply that will slow the pace of global oil inventory withdrawals. EIA also expects that high global oil inventory levels and spare production capacity will limit upward price pressures. EIA expects Brent prices will average $55/b in 2022.
  • EIA estimates that the world consumed 93.9 million b/d of petroleum and liquid fuels in January, which is down 2.8 million b/d from January 2020. EIA forecasts that global consumption of petroleum and liquid fuels will average 97.7 million b/d for all of 2021, which is up by 5.4 million b/d from 2020. EIA forecasts that consumption of petroleum and liquid fuel will increase by 3.5 million b/d in 2022 to average 101.2 million b/d.
  • EIA estimates that U.S. crude oil production averaged 11.0 million b/d in January, which is down slightly from 11.1 million b/d in November (the most recent month for which historical data are available). EIA expects production will continue to decline slightly in the coming months, reaching 10.9 million b/d in June. Although oil-directed drilling has increased in the United States in recent months, the number of active drilling rigs remains lower than year-ago levels. EIA expects production from newly drilled wells will be more than offset by declining production rates at existing wells in the first half of 2021. However, based on EIA’s forecast that West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices will remain near or higher than $50/b during the forecast period, EIA expects drilling will continue to increase. As a result, production from new wells will exceed the declines from legacy wells, and overall crude oil production will increase in the second half of 2021 and in 2022. EIA estimates that U.S. crude oil production will average 11.0 million b/d in 2021—down from 11.3 million b/d in 2020 and 12.2 million b/d in 2019—and will rise to 11.5 million b/d in 2022.
  • U.S. regular gasoline retail prices averaged $2.33 per gallon (gal) in January, compared with an average of $2.20/gal in December and $2.55/gal in January 2020. EIA forecasts gasoline prices to average $2.44/gal in 2021 and $2.46/gal in 2022. U.S. diesel fuel prices averaged $2.68/gal in January compared with $2.58/gal in December and $3.05/gal in January 2020, and EIA forecasts it will average $2.70/gal in 2021 and $2.77/gal in 2022.
  • On a volume basis, U.S. consumption of gasoline declined by more than other petroleum products in 2020. EIA forecasts that U.S. gasoline consumption will rise in the forecast but remain lower than 2019 levels. U.S. gasoline consumption is forecast to average 8.6 million b/d in 2021 and 8.9 million b/d in 2022, up from 8.0 million b/d in 2020 but lower than the 9.3 million b/d consumed in 2019.
  • EIA expects that total U.S. consumption of natural gas will average 81.7 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2021, down 1.9% from 2020. The decline in total U.S. consumption reflects less natural gas consumed for electric power as a result of higher natural gas prices compared with last year. In 2021, EIA expects residential natural gas demand to average 12.9 Bcf/d (up 0.2 Bcf/d from 2020) and commercial demand to average 9.1 Bcf/d (up 0.6 Bcf/d from 2020). EIA forecasts industrial consumption will average 23.0 Bcf/d in 2021 (up 0.4 Bcf/d from 2020) as a result of increased manufacturing activity amid a recovering economy. Industrial consumption of 23.0 Bcf/d would be 0.1 Bcf/d below the 2019 level. EIA expects total U.S. natural gas consumption will average 81.0 Bcf/d in 2022.
  • In January, the Henry Hub natural gas spot price averaged $2.71 per million British thermal units (MMBtu), up from the December average of $2.59/MMBtu. EIA expects Henry Hub spot prices to reach a monthly average of $2.98/MMBtu in February 2021. Higher expected prices in February reflect expectations of continued strong liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and a shrinking surplus of natural gas in storage compared with the five-year (2016–20) average. EIA uses weather forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) as an input into the STEO, and the NOAA forecast in this STEO is from late January. More recent forecasts for mid-February weather show cold temperatures could extend across much of the United States, which creates an upside risk to near-term prices in this outlook. EIA expects that Henry Hub spot prices will average $2.95/MMBtu in 2021, which is up from the 2020 average of $2.03/MMBtu. EIA expects that continued growth in LNG exports and in domestic natural gas consumption outside of the electric power sector, as production remains relatively flat, will contribute to Henry Hub spot prices rising to an average of $3.27/MMBtu in 2022.
  • U.S. working natural gas in storage ended October at more than 3.9 trillion cubic feet (Tcf), 5% more than the 2015–19 average and the fourth-highest end-of-October level on record. EIA estimates that inventory withdrawals were 703 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in January, compared with a five-year (2016–20) average January withdrawal of 716 Bcf. The January withdrawals occurred at a lower rate than EIA forecast in last month’s STEO. The lower-than-expected withdrawal is the result of warmer-than-average January temperatures that reduced natural gas use for space heating. However, EIA forecasts that declines in U.S. natural gas production this winter compared with last winter will more than offset the declines in natural gas consumption, which will contribute to natural gas storage returning to levels near the five-year average by the end of winter. Forecast natural gas inventories end March 2021 at 1.8 Tcf, which is about the same as the five-year average.
  • EIA forecasts that U.S. production of dry natural gas will average 90.5 Bcf/d in 2021 and 91.0 Bcf/d in 2022, which are down from an average of 91.3 Bcf/d in 2020 and 93.1 Bcf/d in 2019. In the forecast, dry natural gas production remains relatively flat, averaging between 89.8 Bcf/d and 91.0 Bcf/d in every month from February 2021 through July 2022. Flat natural gas production is the result of falling production in several of the smaller natural gas producing regions being offset by growth in other regions, most notably in the Appalachia and Haynesville regions.
  • EIA estimates that the United States exported 9.8 Bcf/d of LNG in January amid high spot natural gas prices in Asia. However, foggy conditions and high winds affected export operations at Sabine Pass LNG, Corpus Christi LNG, and Cameron LNG, leading to several weather-related closures and sporadic suspension of piloting services on several days in January. EIA forecasts that U.S. LNG exports will average 8.5 Bcf/d in 2021. In 2022, EIA forecasts LNG exports will average 9.2 Bcf/d, surpassing the amount of natural gas exported via pipeline for the first time.
  • EIA forecasts that consumption of electricity in the United States will increase by 1.6% in 2021 after falling 3.8% in 2020. EIA forecasts residential sector retail sales will grow by 2.2% in 2021. The increase is primarily a result of colder forecast temperatures in the first quarter of 2021 compared with the same period in 2020, which EIA expects will raise demand for space heating, along with EIA’s assumption that more people will be working from home than in the first quarter of 2020. EIA expects retail sales of electricity in the commercial and industrial sectors will increase by 1.2% and 2.3%, respectively. For 2022, EIA forecasts total electricity consumption will grow by another 1.7%.
  • EIA expects the share of U.S. electric power generated with natural gas to fall from 39% in 2020 to 37% in 2021 and to 35% in 2022. The forecast natural gas share declines in response to a forecast increase in the price of natural gas delivered to electricity generators from an average of $2.38/MMBtu in 2020 to $3.27/MMBtu in 2021 (a 37% increase). Coal’s forecast share of electricity generation rises from 20% in 2020 to 21% in 2021 and to 22% in 2022. Electricity generation from renewable energy sources rises from 20% in 2020 to 21% in 2021 and to 23% in 2022. The nuclear share of U.S. generation declines from 21% in 2020 to 20% in 2021 and to 19% in 2022.
  • EIA forecasts that planned additions to U.S. wind and solar generating capacity in 2021 and 2022 will contribute to increasing electricity generation from those sources. EIA estimates that the U.S. electric power sector added 17.5 gigawatts (GW) of new wind capacity in 2020. EIA expects 15.3 GW of wind capacity will be added in 2021 and 3.6 GW in 2022. Utility-scale solar capacity rose by an estimated 11.1 GW in 2020. The forecast for added utility-scale solar capacity is 16.2 GW for 2021 and 12.3 GW for 2022.
  • EIA expects U.S. coal production to total 589 MMst in 2021, 50 MMst (9%) more than in 2020. In 2022, EIA expects coal production to rise by a further 5 MMst (1%). These increases reflect higher forecast demand for coal in the electric power sector because of rising natural gas prices, which increases coal’s competitiveness relative to natural gas for power generation dispatch. Although EIA expects coal production to rise in 2022, expected production increases will be limited by strong inventory draws. EIA expects significant coal supply to the power sector will come from a reduction in inventory levels in 2022, as the power sector brings inventory levels back in line with historical averages. Coal production in the forecast will also be limited by declining production capacity, as high mine reclamation costs have contributed to mine divestments and closings that may counter the effects of higher coal demand.
  • EIA expects rising global economic activity will contribute to rising steel production and power demand, which will lead to increased U.S. exports of both metallurgical and steam coal. EIA forecasts coal exports will total 85 MMst in 2021, up by 24% from 2020, which was the lowest level since 2016. EIA forecasts exports will rise by 6 MMst in 2022 to 91 MMst.
  • EIA estimates that U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions decreased by 11% in 2020. This decline in emissions is the result of less energy consumption related to economic contraction in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2021, EIA forecasts that energy-related CO2 emissions will increase by about 4% from the 2020 level as economic activity increases leading to rising energy use. Energy-related CO2 emissions are also expected to rise by 3% in 2022 as economic growth continues. 

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How Do You Detect Gas Leaks In Your Home?

Everyone should always be mindful of gas safety. Although natural gas and liquid petroleum gas (LPG) don't immediately represent a hazard of poisoning, they present a significant risk of a fire or explosion. It is crucial to keep yourself safe by being aware of the risks and learning how to spot a gas leak.

Natural gas like practically all other energy sources is harmful if not handled properly. You may protect yourself and your loved ones by following a few basic safety precautions (and understanding what to do if you have a gas leak or have been exposed to one). 

Is Using Natural Gas In The Home Safe?

Natural gas is a reliable, safe power source when handled properly. Although burning natural gas emits some greenhouse gases, it is still a more environmentally friendly option than using other fossil fuels. But natural gas is a combustible substance. A natural gas leak in a home could result in a fire, and breathing it in could poison you with natural gas. It is important to use caution when exposed to natural gas, just as with electricity, gasoline, and other potentially hazardous energy sources.

Is There A Gas Leak In Your Home?

If you suspect a gas leak, you should immediately call the National Gas Emergency Service number. Try to open a few windows to allow for airflow before doing so. Immediately leave the premises if you smell gas in a cellar. Our article will explain what to do in your home to assist you to remain safe in the case of a leak so that you are always ready.

Underground pipes used to carry the gas to buildings might cause external gas leaks. If you're outside a building and you smell gas, there probably is a leak, therefore you should call the National Gas Emergency Service.

Appliances that are broken or improperly installed frequently result in gas leaks in homes. Usually, the pipe entering your appliance is where the leak originates. If you've made sure the appliance is turned off, for example, by turning all the knobs on your stove to the off position, then a problem with the hose is probably to blame for your gas leak.

Any appliances you install must be done so by a qualified Gas Safe registered engineer and are given a regular gas safety check or service to assist reduce the danger of a gas leak brought on by a faulty appliance. Make sure to verify their accreditation on the Gas Safe Register website before work begins.

How To Detect Gas Leaks?
  • Look For The Smell Of Sulphur Or Rotten Eggs

Due to the lack of color and smell in most gases, natural gas companies typically add the chemical mercaptan to give it a specific smell. Your home frequently smells like sulphur or rotting eggs when the smell is present. If you spot this specific smell, it could be wiser to investigate the leak's origin or contact a technician.

  • Be Alert For Any Hissing Or Whistling Sounds

If you hear a whizzing or whistling sound close to your gas line, you may be experiencing a serious gas leak. If the noise is coming from the area where your air conditioner is, it can be coming from a refrigerant line, a faulty valve, or a damaged compressor.

  • Implement A Gas Leak Detector

The best approach to determine whether you have a gas leak is to buy a gas leak detector. You have a variety of gas leak detection options. Sensors and leak detectors come in a wide variety. When shopping online, it's important to buy a detector that can detect several different gases. To keep you and your family safe at home, explore different options for gas leak detectors and sensors.

  • Check The Stove Or The Burner Top.

When a stovetop burner is lit, the flame is often blue. The existence of a gas that is removing oxygen from the atmosphere could be indicated by orange or red flames emerging from your stove burner.

  • Conduct The Soapy Water Test

A spoonful of soap and a glass of water combined to create a concentrated solution. Spray the soap-and-water solution on the area that is thought to be leaking, then look for bubbles to form. It suggests the area is experiencing a gas leak.

September, 24 2022
How To Fill A Portable Helium Tank

Having a helium tank can be helpful if you often arrange or plan big parties. A portable helium tank may be easily filled, which is a blessing. You can bring it to a shop to refill it or order online from a gas service provider store that offers helium gas tank services. 


Refill Your Portable Helium Tank

Some portable helium tanks cannot be filled again. A single-use tank that is being attempted to be refilled has the potential of bursting, inflicting harm on everyone around. If you have a refillable tank, the first thing to do is call nearby businesses to determine whether they provide refill services. The store where you bought the first tank might be able to provide you with a refill. There are other places you can acquire a portable helium tank refill if the store is closed or if you have relocated.

Find local gas and welding shops, party supply stores, and balloon shops by conducting a web search. If these businesses provide helium tank refilling, they frequently list the service on their website. Call nearby businesses to verify that they can fill the tank and to learn what hours they are open to performing the service. Additionally, this provides a chance to contrast helium pricing.

Once you've located a spot, bring the tank there to be refilled. Make sure to take the tank's balloon inflator attachment off before transporting the tank, replacing it with the steel cap. As you are driving, check to make sure the tank is stable and won't fall or roll.


Refillable Helium Tank vs. Disposable Helium Tank

A reusable helium tank may be less expensive than a refillable one. However, if you host gatherings frequently, a refillable cylinder can be a more economical choice. Refillable tanks are an excellent solution for a single event and are available for rental at several party supply retailers.

If you decide to use a disposable tank, keep in mind that you cannot just throw it away. Be sure to properly dump the tank when you've finished using it. Check with your recycling company to determine if doorstep service is an option. Alternately, look up steel recycling businesses in your neighborhood. When disposing of an inflated portable helium tank, make sure to follow all federal, state, and municipal laws.


Considerations Before Using A Portable Helium Tank

It may take some time to receive a refill, and not all stores are open on weekends and holidays. Thus, before an event, make sure you have enough helium to satisfy your needs. Approximately 0.15 cubic feet of helium should be used for each little 7-inch balloon. The amount of helium needed to fill an 18-inch foil balloon is roughly 0.44 cubic feet, whereas an 11-inch balloon requires roughly 0.5 cubic feet.

It's crucial to use and store your portable helium tank carefully if you plan to buy one. Children should not be let near uninflated balloons or tanks because both are potentially dangerous. Helium can hurt you if it is sprayed into your mouth or face because of the pressure. Use helium outside or in a room with good ventilation. Don't drop or damage the cylinder in any way.

Make sure the space is dry when you store the canister because moisture can cause helium tanks to corrode. Temperatures in the storage area shouldn't get above 120 degrees Fahrenheit.


September, 21 2022
Layout and Maintenance of Wood Pellet Machine Mould

As the core component, style of the wood pellet mill for sale has a great influence on improving the result and high quality of wood pellet production, lowering power consumption, and also minimizing manufacturing expenses.

At the same time, the timber pellet maker mold and mildew are likewise one of the most conveniently used parts. Consequently, it is very crucial for wood pellets producers to understand the layout and application of ring die, and also to make the appropriate selection, rational usage, and also reliable upkeep of ring die.

The following is a quick evaluation of the style, option, use, and also upkeep of the ring die for a referral.

1, Decision of ring pass away diameter as well as ring pass away efficient pressing size specifications

a, The size and also efficient width of the ring die is the main specifications of the wood pellet device die

According to the global timber pellet equipment parameters and also concern series to figure out the ring die size collection, RICHI mainly has the complying with the collection of timber pellet machines:

MZLH320 Wood Pellet Machine

MZLH350 Wood Pellet Making Machine

MZLH420 Wood Pellet Mill

MZLH520 Wood Pellet Maker

MZLH768 Wood Pellet Press

MZLH858 Wood Pelletizer

According to the proportion of equal practical pushing location as well as an equal power, determine the reliable size of the ring passes away.


b, Decision on the rotational speed of the press roller of the wood pellet device

The rotational speed of the journalism roller is associated with the geometric parameters of the timber pellet equipment itself. According to the information detection of the technical criteria of the global pellet equipment, for the ring pass away pellet equipment with 2 pressing rollers, the direct rate at the internal diameter of the ring die is 6-12m/ s better. This is additionally the distinction between the rate of the sawdust pellet machine as well as the feed pellet machine.

The rate of the roller of the timber pellet equipment directly affects the thickness of the material in the pelletizing chamber and also the time for the material to travel through the die opening, which in turn impacts the outcome of the pellet device as well as the top quality of the pellets. If the line speed is too high, under the exact same output, the ring die produces much fewer bits per change, and also the product in the granulation area is little and also unevenly dispersed, which might cause product mistakes, alternate granulation, loose fragments with different lengths, and a large amount of powder. Can't even powder. A lower ring dies line rate can create pellets as well as can produce better pellets, yet the throughput is relatively low.


c, Determination of the size of journalism roller

Ring Die of Pelletizing Equipment

The standard pelletizing principle for pellet formation is received in the figure listed below. The timber pellets can get rid of the resistance of the material going through the aperture of the ring die through the shared extrusion force between the ring pass away as well as the pressing roller, so as to attain the function of granulation.

Pelletizing Concept

Under the same ring dies, the larger the size of the stress roller, the greater the range of triangular extrusion developed between the ring die and the stress roller, which is more conducive to the extrusion result.

In theory, talking, the diameter of the pressure roller of a solitary roller can be the largest, as well as the extrusion time, and also extrusion impact must be the most effective. However, in the procedure of the wood pellet mill, one of the most force in between the pressing roller and the ring die is transferred between the major shaft, the bearing, and the empty shaft, so the mechanical framework of the single-roller granulator is coarse, so it can just be used on a little experimental granulator. It is tough to be utilized in large-scale pellet mills, and also the double-roller sawdust pellet mill has actually come to be the most pre-owned version in the pellet.


2. Ring pass away product and warmth therapy

wood pellet machine ring die

wood pellet machine ring die

Wood pellet maker molds are normally made from carbon steel, alloy steel as well as stainless-steel through forging, reduction, exploration, warmth therapy, and various other processes. The product utilized in the ring pass away and also each handling procedure have a straight influence on its service life, granulation high quality as well as the outcome.

Carbon Steel-- Heat Treated Firmness HRC45-50. The wear resistance and deterioration resistance are reasonably poor and are essentially gotten rid of.

Alloy Steel-- Warmth treated with a firmness above HRC50. The thorough mechanical buildings are high, as well as the usage rate is the highest possible.

Stainless steel-- Great hardness and also toughness, total quenching, as well as good wear, and also rust resistance. But its high price has actually dragged down general use.


3. Ring pass away hole structure, compression proportion

 ring die hole

ring die opening

Typical timber pellet maker molds have straight holes, decompression holes, outer conical openings and also inner conical holes. The major criteria are:

Die opening size, ring pass away density, ring die efficient density, decompression opening size, pass away opening facility range, wall surface thickness between die openings, ring pass away diameter, and ring pass away reliable width.

The compression ratio is the ratio of the effective thickness of the ring passing away to the diameter of the die hole. It is an indicator of the extrusion toughness of wood pellets. The greater the compression ratio, the more powerful the extruded particles. Therefore, the die hole of the ring die is determined according to the different raw materials of wood.


4. Usage and also maintenance of wood pellet maker mold

Right adjustment of the working gap in between the ring pass away and journalism roller is vital to the use of the ring die. Usually talking, the void in between the ring die as well as the pressing roller is between 0.1-0.3 mm.


When the space is too huge, the machine will certainly be obstructed as a result of not enough extrusion force. If the space is also small, it is very easy to damage the ring die and the pressing roller. For the operator, it is needed to have useful operation experience and be able to masterfully pick and change the gap of the ring die roll. The adjustment work needs to be grasped with a long-term granulator production technique.


View more content: https://www.pelletingmachine.com/pellet-mill-for-sale/

September, 19 2022